Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 7pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Lauritsen (54' pen.), Verschueren (64')
Clement (39'), Lauritsen (70')
Verschueren (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roemeratoe (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 Sparta
Sunday, October 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 Volendam
Saturday, October 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 RKC Waalwijk

Sparta have lost just one of their last eight home matches and are proving to be a tough nut to crack in front of their fans. We are tipping the hosts to come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
38.99% ( 0.57)	25% ( 0.01)	36% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

-0.09)

45.74% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-0.09)

68.05% (

0.09)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

0.25)

23.25% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

0.37)

57.17% (

-0.36)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.37)

24.85% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

-0.51)

59.45% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 38.99%

RKC Waalwijk 36%

Draw 25%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.99%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36%