Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Le Havre |
41.27% ( 0.07) | 27.73% ( -0.01) | 31% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.01% ( 0.03) | 57.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.32% ( 0.02) | 78.68% ( -0.02) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( 0.05) | 27.64% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( 0.06) | 63.18% ( -0.06) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% ( -0.02) | 34.12% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( -0.03) | 70.81% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |