Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	LASK Linz
38.04% ( 0.49)	24.76% ( -0.34)	37.2% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

1.6)

44.55% (

-1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

1.53)

66.91% (

-1.52)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79% (

0.98)

23.21% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89% (

1.41)

57.11% (

-1.4)

LASK Linz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

0.66)

23.65% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

0.93)

57.75% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 38.04%

LASK Linz 37.2%

Draw 24.76%

Sturm Graz	Draw	LASK Linz
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.04%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.2%