Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg

Jun 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

TBC

Stuttgart
3 - 0
Hamburger SV

(Stuttgart win 6-1 on aggregate)

Mavropanos (1'), Vagnomann (51'), Guirassy (54')
Karazor (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reis (15'), Konigsdorffer (73')
Suhonen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoff first-leg clash between Stuttgart and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hamburger SV

All competitions

Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-1 Hamburger SV
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Hamburger SV

A closely-fought contest between two giants of German football, who are both three-time Bundesliga winners, is set to take place on Thursday, although Stuttgart will be regarded as slight favourites. As the two teams look to quickly brush aside the disappointment of failing to meet their desired targets last weekend, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to gain a first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Hamburger SV
36.78% ( 0.01)	22.98% ( 0)	40.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 65.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.2% (

-0.01)

35.8% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.12% (

-0.01)

57.87% (

0.01)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

52.09%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.01)

18.36% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

-0.01)

49.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 36.78%

Hamburger SV 40.25%

Draw 22.97%

Stuttgart	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.22% Total : 36.78%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 40.25%