Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 2
Clermont

Aboukhlal (8'), Magri (14')
Dallinga (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kyei (34' pen.), Ogier (90+6')
Boutobba (37'), Seidu (73'), Diaw (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Metz
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Clermont

Toulouse have earned points against both Nantes and PSG so far this term, so Les Violets will be confident of recording a maximum at home to Clermont on Sunday. The Lancers have looked vulnerable in defence during the opening stages of the season, and we expect the visitors to extend their losing run to four matches on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Clermont
41.88% ( 0.17)	27.31% ( 0.25)	30.8% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

-1.08)

56.48% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52% (

-0.88)

77.48% (

0.88)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.41)

26.6% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

-0.54)

61.83% (

0.54)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

-0.87)

33.47% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89% (

-0.96)

70.1% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 41.88%

Clermont 30.8%

Draw 27.31%

Toulouse	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.8%