Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genk 2-2 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Udinese 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite lacking bite up front, Udinese rarely concede more than one goal and are generally tough to beat on home soil. As Fiorentina's ever-changing cast will be rotated again, a disjointed performance may see them restricted to a single point from their trip north to Udine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
31.54% ( 0.3)	25.11% ( 0.02)	43.34% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

0.02)

47.29% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48% (

0.02)

69.52% (

-0.02)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

0.21)

28.29% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99% (

0.26)

64.01% (

-0.27)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

-0.14)

21.81% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98% (

-0.22)

55.02% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Udinese 31.54%

Fiorentina 43.34%

Draw 25.11%

Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.54%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.34%