Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Vertessen (50'), Aaronson (52')
Vogt (26'), Gosens (27'), Tousart (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weiser (63')
Lynen (32'), Weiser (38'), Ducksch (41'), Stage (72'), Keita (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Werder Bremen

Union Berlin and Werder Bremen will both view Saturday's fixture as a winnable game, and while there is little to separate these two out-of-form teams, we believe that Bremen have the edge in the final third and that should get them over the line this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
50.76% ( 0.02)	24.18% ( 0.02)	25.05% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74% (

-0.1)

47.26% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

-0.09)

69.49% (

0.09)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

-0.03)

18.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05% (

-0.05)

49.95% (

0.05)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

-0.08)

33.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34% (

-0.09)

69.65% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 50.76%

Werder Bremen 25.05%

Draw 24.18%

Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.05%