Serie B | Gameweek 22

Jan 27, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
1 - 0
Ternana

Busio (84')
Tessmann (50'), Sverko (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Favilli (90+1')
Favilli (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 4-2 Venezia
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ternana

All competitions

Last Game: Ternana 3-1 Cittadella
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Ternana
53.47% ( 0.11)	23.13% ( -0.07)	23.39% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74% (

0.23)

44.26% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.36% (

0.22)

66.63% (

-0.22)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

0.12)

16.51% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

0.22)

46.24% (

-0.22)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.08)

32.85% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.09)

69.41% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Venezia 53.48%

Ternana 23.39%

Draw 23.12%

Venezia	Draw	Ternana
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.48%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.39%