Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Mainz

Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05

Even at this early stage of the campaign, this meeting has all the makings of a relegation dogfight, with both teams winless across their opening eight games apiece. As such, there is likely to be plenty of nerves and a lack of quality on display, with both managers scared to see their team fall to defeat. We can envisage a low-scoring draw as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
37.24% ( 0.11)	22.91% ( -0.03)	39.85% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 65.67% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.59% (

0.17)

35.41% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.55% (

0.19)

57.45% (

-0.18)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

0.13)

19.55% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

0.2)

51.46% (

-0.2)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

0.04)

18.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5% (

0.07)

49.5% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 37.24%

Mainz 05 39.85%

Draw 22.91%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 39.85%