With Page looking to find a balance with the players that he uses on Wednesday night, this game could be closer than many are anticipating. Nevertheless, we still expect Wales to post a much-needed win ahead of their showdown with Croatia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 93.32%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 4-0 (14.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.25%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Gibraltar
93.32% ( -1.09)	5.71% ( 0.97)	0.97% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 17.39% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.51% (

-4.86)

33.49% (

4.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.72% (

-5.76)

55.28% (

5.76)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.03% (

-0.89)

3.97% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.21% (

-2.97)

16.79% (

2.97)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

18.1% (

-1.4)

81.89% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.75% (

-0.29)

98.25% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Wales 93.3%

Gibraltar 0.97%

Draw 5.71%

Wales	Draw	Gibraltar
3-0 @ 18.2% ( 0.78) 2-0 @ 16.92% ( 1.9) 4-0 @ 14.67% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 1.85) 5-0 @ 9.47% ( -1.06) 6-0 @ 5.09% ( -1.02) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.36) 7-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.69) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.4) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.31) 8-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.31% Total : 93.3%	0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.77) 1-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.36% Total : 5.71%	Other @ 0.97% Total : 0.97%