FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Martins (5')
Chakvetadze (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Armstrong (89')
Holgate (4'), Alcaraz (40')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-3 Southampton

With both teams expected to make changes, there is more of an unpredictability regarding the final outcome. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Southampton against any of the EFL clubs right now, even though they may have to showcase their superior class in the second half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Southampton
39.48% ( -0)	24.29% ( 0)	36.23% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.65% (

-0.01)

42.35% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.24% (

-0.01)

64.75% (

0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

-0.01)

21.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

-0.01)

54.57% (

0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

-0)

23.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94% (

-0)

57.05% (

Score Analysis

Watford 39.48%

Southampton 36.23%

Draw 24.29%

Watford	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.23%