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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.36%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
43.31% ( 6.43) | 21.44% ( -0.88) | 35.25% ( -5.56) |
Both teams to score 71.14% ( 3.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.81% ( 4.18) | 28.18% ( -4.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.03% ( 5.02) | 48.97% ( -5.02) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.94% ( 4.31) | 14.06% ( -4.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.36% ( 7.85) | 41.64% ( -7.85) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( -0.52) | 17.22% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.5% ( -0.92) | 47.5% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.91) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.56) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.74) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.62) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.44) 4-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.39) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.86% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.95) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.98) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.66) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -1.23) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -1.17) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.73) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.33) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.35) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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