Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
FC Koln

Borre (38'), Njinmah (67')
Weiser (79'), Veljkovic (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Selke (31')
Alidou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln

Baumgart has been loath to label Koln's current predicament a "crisis", and with good reason too, as the Billy Goats have only been bested by Borussia Dortmund in their last six away games and can restore a small slice of pride against a leaky Werder Bremen crop. The hosts are very rarely kept at arm's length in front of their own fans, though, and we can see another low-scoring draw being played out between the two sides, as was the case four months ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	FC Koln
24.26% ( -0.01)	22.44% ( 0)	53.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.47% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76% (

-0.03)

40.23% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

-0.03)

62.6% (

0.02)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-0.03)

29.92% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97% (

-0.03)

66.02% (

0.03)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

-0.01)

15.14% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.28% (

-0.01)

43.72% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 24.26%

FC Koln 53.29%

Draw 22.43%

Werder Bremen	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.26%	1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.29%