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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Independiente

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Independiente

Nuss (21'), Vera (53')
Moyano (45+2'), Nuss (45+5'), Vera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benegas (44')
Rodriguez (39'), Laso (73'), Fernandez (90'), Barreto (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, June 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Independiente

 There is quality on both sides, though neither have managed to bury their chances consistently, so we anticipate this will be a close game between two teams who are looking to keep pace in the early stages of this Primera Division phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
45.39% (0.557 0.56) 27.81% (0.402 0.4) 26.79% (-0.961 -0.96)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-1.714 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (-1.871 -1.87)59.96% (1.87 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (-1.45 -1.45)80.21% (1.449 1.45)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.577 -0.58)26.39% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.774 -0.77)61.54% (0.772 0.77)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.832 -1.83)38.51% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.792 -1.79)75.25% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 45.38%
    Independiente 26.79%
    Draw 27.81%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.693 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente

Argentinos Juniors
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Independiente
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2021 12.15am
Independiente
0-0
Argentinos Jrs

Manuel Insaurralde (21'), Roa (76'), Romero (77')

Gomez (26'), Ovando (86'), Di Cesare (87')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Zone Five
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Coronel (86')
Menendez (24'), Velasco (71')
Bustos (61')
Oct 19, 2019 7.30pm
Independiente
0-1
Argentinos Jrs

Perez (7'), Bustos (9'), Palacios (25'), Figal (84')
Roa (45')
Gomez (86')
Sandoval (32'), Gomez (34'), Mac Allister (42'), Silva (55'), Batallini (70')
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Montero (81')
Gigliotti (17', 86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1Racing ClubRacing4310124810
2TalleresTalleres431093610
3River PlateRiver Plate43019279
4GimnasiaGimnasia42118447
5HuracanHuracan32105237
6UnionUnion32104137
7Independiente Rivadavia32103037
8Instituto42115417
9BelgranoBelgrano421178-17
10EstudiantesEstudiantes32014226
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB32013126
12Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs420246-26
13Rosario CentralRosario41216515
14LanusLanus412145-15
15Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield412145-15
16Atletico TucumanTucuman412134-15
17Platense412123-15
18Boca Juniors41124404
19Barracas Central311123-14
20Deportivo Riestra410315-43
21IndependienteIndependiente302124-22
22San Lorenzo201112-11
23Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
24Sarmiento301224-21
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa301225-31
26BanfieldBanfield301215-41
27TigreTigre401329-71
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba4004513-80
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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