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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 5, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield


Diaz (78'), Martin Ginzo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bou (42')
Fernandez (45'), Florentin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Platense 0-1 Lanus
Friday, June 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, July 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

 Despite there being 20 positions and 19 points between these two teams ahead of their meeting on Wednesday, we expect the appointment of Mendez to make this a much closer contest than many may expect. However, Lanus have built plenty of momentum within the past few months, and we can envisage them marginally getting themselves over the line in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
51.94% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 27.15% (-0.093 -0.09) 20.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.57% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.17% (0.311 0.31)61.83% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.39% (0.23 0.23)81.61% (-0.223 -0.22)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)24.1% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.247 0.25)58.39% (-0.24 -0.24)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.77% (0.199 0.2)45.24% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88% (0.155 0.16)81.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 51.93%
    Velez Sarsfield 20.91%
    Draw 27.14%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Velez Sarsfield
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Lanus
2-2
Velez Sarsfield
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Lanus
Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
First Phase
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1Racing ClubRacing4310124810
2TalleresTalleres431093610
3River PlateRiver Plate43019279
4GimnasiaGimnasia42118447
5HuracanHuracan32105237
6UnionUnion32104137
7Independiente Rivadavia32103037
8Instituto42115417
9BelgranoBelgrano421178-17
10EstudiantesEstudiantes32014226
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB32013126
12Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs420246-26
13Rosario CentralRosario41216515
14LanusLanus412145-15
15Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield412145-15
16Atletico TucumanTucuman412134-15
17Platense412123-15
18Boca Juniors41124404
19Barracas Central311123-14
20Deportivo Riestra410315-43
21IndependienteIndependiente302124-22
22San Lorenzo201112-11
23Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
24Sarmiento301224-21
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa301225-31
26BanfieldBanfield301215-41
27TigreTigre401329-71
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba4004513-80
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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