Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
We said: Botafogo 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo's availability issues, allied to their struggles in the final third, make Atletico a far more settled unit ahead of Sunday's game.
Therefore, expect the champions to overcome their promoted rivals; keeping the pressure up on future Libertadores opponents Palmeiras at the top.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.69% . A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.52%) . The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.
Result Botafogo Draw Atletico Mineiro 27.39% ( -0.91) 25.92% ( -0.48) 46.69% ( 1.39)
Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.83)
47.3% ( 1.37) 52.7% ( -1.38)
25.66% ( 1.16) 74.34% ( -1.16)
65.93% ( 0.01) 34.07% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.24% ( 0.02) 70.76% ( -0.02)
77.45% ( 1.24) 22.55% ( -1.24)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.86% ( 1.81) 56.14% ( -1.82)
Botafogo 27.39%
Atletico Mineiro 46.69%
Draw 25.92%
Botafogo Draw Atletico Mineiro 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.39% 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.92% 0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.69%
How you voted: Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo
Draw
Atletico Mineiro
5
rhs 2.0
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