Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense2 - 1Palmeiras
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Fluminense
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Palmeiras |
41.26% ( -2.96) | 28.08% ( 0.35) | 30.66% ( 2.61) |
Both teams to score 46.57% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.69% ( -0.25) | 59.31% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% ( -0.2) | 79.71% ( 0.2) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( -1.71) | 28.27% ( 1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( -2.21) | 63.99% ( 2.21) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( 1.9) | 35.07% ( -1.9) |