Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 0Atletico Mineiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
We said: Gremio 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Galo have been sharp defensively away from home in this competition, and we believe they will be able to limit the Gremio scoring opportunities on Saturday and find a way to claim a point against an unstable backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gremio | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
33.88% ( -0.06) | 27.71% ( 0.07) | 38.4% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.69% ( -0.27) | 57.31% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.86% ( -0.22) | 78.14% ( 0.22) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.24% ( -0.18) | 31.76% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.81% ( -0.21) | 68.19% ( 0.21) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( -0.13) | 28.94% ( 0.13) |