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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
39.43% ( -1.1) | 23.92% ( -0.12) | 36.65% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.5% ( 0.73) | 40.5% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.12% ( 0.74) | 62.88% ( -0.74) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% ( -0.2) | 20.74% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( -0.32) | 53.36% ( 0.32) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.97) | 22.11% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( 1.45) | 55.48% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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