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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.83% ( -1.41) | 21.71% ( 0.33) | 33.46% ( 1.09) |
Both teams to score 69.44% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.85% ( -1.21) | 30.14% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.63% ( -1.47) | 51.37% ( 1.47) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.69% ( -0.93) | 14.31% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.87% ( -1.85) | 42.12% ( 1.85) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( -0.04) | 18.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( -0.07) | 50.49% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.49% Total : 33.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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