MX23RW : Monday, May 20 22:33:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Freiburg

Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

Werder Bremen will be brimming with confidence ahead of this match following a historic victory over Bayern Munich last week and having avoided defeat in their last five league games. However, despite their uptick in form, they now face a side that they have not beaten in their last five attempts and are in the midst of the race for a place in Europe next season. This looks like a very level match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
34.08% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 24.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 41.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.06% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)24.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)58.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.63% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 34.08%
    Freiburg 41.64%
    Draw 24.27%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
41.4%
Draw
27.6%
Freiburg
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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