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HJK logo
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
Molde logo

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Molde

Keskinen (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brynhildsen (50'), Haugen (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between HJK Helsinki and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Ilves
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Molde 5-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Molde

HJK will be desperate to make full use of home advantage in the first leg, but we think that they will have to be content with a draw against a Molde side who have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times after winning six and drawing one of their last seven games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawMolde
35.88%26.13% (0.00099999999999767 0) 37.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)50.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.65% (0.0040000000000049 0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (0.00099999999999056 0)26.07% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 35.88%
    Molde 37.99%
    Draw 26.13%
HJK HelsinkiDrawMolde
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.88%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.99%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Molde

HJK Helsinki
15.1%
Draw
19.8%
Molde
65.1%
86
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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