Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan1 - 0Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Porto
Friday, September 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Benfica
Inzaghi's cup expertise means backing Inter to secure a win over Benfica is a safe bet, with the Nerazzurri extending their unbeaten run against the Portuguese outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Benfica |
32.82% ( 1.72) | 24.83% ( -0.05) | 42.35% ( -1.67) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.4% ( 0.84) | 45.6% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% ( 0.79) | 67.93% ( -0.79) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( 1.51) | 26.65% ( -1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( 1.95) | 61.9% ( -1.95) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0.41) | 21.55% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.64) | 54.63% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 32.82%
Benfica 42.35%
Draw 24.83%
Inter Milan | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.35% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Benfica
Inter Milan
77.6%Draw
13.1%Benfica
9.3%214
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 08:51:53
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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