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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
PEC Zwolle

PSV
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Lozano (5'), Til (28'), de Jong (57'), Tillman (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia McNulty (40'), Thomas (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 PEC Zwolle

 With the visitors having impressed of late, this has effectively become a free pass to try to shock the leaders. However, we do not anticipate any Dutch team defeating PSV for the foreseeable future and it would come as a surprise if the home side do not cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
72.68% (-0.88 -0.88) 15.28% (0.392 0.39) 12.04% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.97% (-0.634 -0.63)27.03% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.48% (-0.806 -0.81)47.52% (0.811 0.81)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.52% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)6.48% (0.3009 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.79% (-0.82799999999999 -0.83)24.21% (0.833 0.83)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.28400000000001 0.28)34.83% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.298 0.3)71.56% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.68%
    PEC Zwolle 12.04%
    Draw 15.28%
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.56% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.68%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.095 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.38% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.04%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
1-2
PSV
Kastaneer (16')
Redan (86')
Bruma (11'), Ledezma (73')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
3-1
PEC Zwolle
Ramalho (84'), Gakpo (86'), Boscagli (89')
Boscagli (76')
Redan (3')
Pabai (53'), Tedic (76'), De Wit (77')
> Preview
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
4-2
PEC Zwolle
Mous (22' og.), Malen (29'), Vertessen (34'), Zahavi (54')
Pherai (69'), Lagsir (90')
Bajselmani (42'), Olivier Doue (52'), Lam (66')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
PEC Zwolle
0-3
PSV

Huiberts (43'), van Polen (57')
Gotze (9'), Gakpo (18'), Malen (39')
Rosario (61'), Sangare (86')
Dec 21, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 18
PSV
4-1
PEC Zwolle
Hendrix (18'), Ihattaren (26'), Bruma (51'), Gakpo (72')
Viergever (60')
Saymak (12')
Dekker (8'), van Crooij (43'), Paal (68'), Thy (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446
> Eredivisie Full Table


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