Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
61.73% ( -0.85) | 21.81% ( 0.36) | 16.46% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.89% ( -0.62) | 48.1% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.73% ( -0.57) | 70.27% ( 0.57) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( -0.48) | 15.06% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% ( -0.91) | 43.57% ( 0.91) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.61% ( 0.27) | 42.38% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.23% ( 0.23) | 78.77% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 61.72% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |