Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
51.9% ( -0.75) | 25.97% ( 0.35) | 22.13% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 45.98% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.16% ( -0.87) | 56.84% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.23% ( -0.7) | 77.77% ( 0.71) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.02% ( -0.68) | 21.98% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.71% ( -1.04) | 55.28% ( 1.04) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.94% ( -0.09) | 41.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.39% ( -0.08) | 77.61% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |