Villarreal will need to switch their focus back to La Liga after the high of the Champions League, and they will be coming up against a Getafe side battling to remain in Spain's top flight. Villarreal, on paper, are the favourites, but Getafe might just want this a little bit more, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
