Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
46.64% ( -0.07) | 23.64% ( 0.06) | 29.71% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.53% ( -0.29) | 41.47% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.13% ( -0.29) | 63.86% ( 0.29) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.98% ( -0.14) | 18.02% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.1% ( -0.24) | 48.9% ( 0.24) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.14) | 26.6% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.19) | 61.82% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |