Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
40.39% ( 0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.15) | 31.03% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.06% ( -0.57) | 60.93% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.05% ( -0.43) | 80.94% ( 0.43) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( -0.26) | 29.55% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( -0.32) | 65.58% ( 0.32) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% ( -0.44) | 35.66% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( -0.46) | 72.44% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 31.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |