Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
36.39% ( 0.02) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 38.24% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% ( -0.02) | 47.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% ( -0.02) | 69.55% ( 0.02) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% ( -0) | 25.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0) | 60.17% |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0.02) | 24.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( -0.03) | 58.76% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |