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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
0 - 1
Atletico


Raillo (71'), Muriqi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form has been so disappointing this season, and Mallorca do not give up many goals in front of their own fans, so we are struggling to back an away success with any real conviction. Mallorca are fighting for points to stay out of the bottom three, meanwhile, and we can see a low-scoring draw occurring this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
26.33% (0.201 0.2) 26.58% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 47.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.34% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.252 0.25)55.84% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.204 0.2)76.96% (-0.203 -0.2)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.308 0.31)36.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.306 0.31)73.43% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)57.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 26.33%
    Atletico Madrid 47.1%
    Draw 26.57%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
20.4%
Draw
21.4%
Atletico Madrid
58.2%
98
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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