Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.02% ( -0.15) | 28.03% ( -0.07) | 36.95% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.62% ( 0.25) | 58.38% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.01% ( 0.2) | 78.99% ( -0.19) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.03) | 31.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.03) | 67.96% ( -0.03) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 0.26) | 30.33% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( 0.31) | 66.52% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |