Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
56.07% ( 0.27) | 25.21% ( -0.12) | 18.71% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 43.42% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.27% ( 0.23) | 57.73% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.52% ( 0.18) | 78.48% ( -0.18) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.2) | 20.61% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( 0.32) | 53.16% ( -0.32) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.69% ( -0.05) | 45.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.82% ( -0.04) | 81.18% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |