Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
58.98% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( 0) | 16.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.61% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% ( 0) | 55.84% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.04% ( 0) | 76.96% ( -0) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( -0.01) | 18.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.01) | 50.14% ( 0.01) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.68% ( 0.02) | 46.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.03% ( 0.02) | 81.97% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |