Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
50.82% ( -0.28) | 26.3% ( 0.04) | 22.88% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.64% ( 0.06) | 57.36% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% ( 0.05) | 78.18% ( -0.05) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -0.1) | 22.67% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% ( -0.15) | 56.31% ( 0.14) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.38% ( 0.27) | 40.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.25) | 77.21% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |