Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
74.47% (![]() | 15.29% (![]() | 10.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.26% (![]() | 32.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.58% (![]() | 54.41% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% (![]() | 7.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.21% (![]() | 26.79% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58% (![]() | 41.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.57% (![]() | 78.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 10.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 7.05% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.29% | 1-2 @ 3.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |