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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lille
1 - 1
PSG

David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

As solid as Lille have been defensively this season, it has been a while since they have gone up against an attack with as much quality as PSG, and we believe there will be too many weapons for Les Dogues' backline to contend with on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
41.41% (2.636 2.64) 23.91% (0.396 0.4) 34.68% (-3.036 -3.04)
Both teams to score 61.42% (-1.937 -1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (-2.344 -2.34)40.76% (2.341 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.85% (-2.441 -2.44)63.15% (2.436 2.44)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.206 0.21)19.94% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (0.334 0.33)52.09% (-0.338 -0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-2.628 -2.63)23.28% (2.623 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-3.984 -3.98)57.21% (3.98 3.98)
Score Analysis
    Lille 41.41%
    Paris Saint-Germain 34.68%
    Draw 23.9%
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.373 0.37)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.817 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.694 0.69)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.391 0.39)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 41.41%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.48 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Lille vs PSG

Lille
14.1%
Draw
14.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
71.8%
71
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
PSG
2-1
Lille
Marquinhos (74'), Di Maria (88')
Neymar (86')
David (31')
Mandava (5'), Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (57'), Celik (63'), Grbic (85')
Aug 1, 2021 7pm
Final
Lille
1-0
PSG
Xeka (45')
Araujo (78'), Jardim (90+2')

Kehrer (30'), Diallo (52'), Draxler (84'), Pereira (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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