Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
56.01% ( -1.35) | 22.52% ( 0.55) | 21.47% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 55.53% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.24% ( -1.44) | 43.76% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.85% ( -1.43) | 66.15% ( 1.43) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.54% ( -0.93) | 15.46% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.68% ( -1.77) | 44.32% ( 1.77) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( -0.05) | 34.32% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( -0.05) | 71.03% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.01% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |