Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lorient |
57.48% ( -0.66) | 21.59% ( 0.14) | 20.93% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.77% ( 0.08) | 40.23% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.4% ( 0.08) | 62.6% ( -0.07) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% ( -0.17) | 13.79% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% ( -0.35) | 41.12% ( 0.36) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 0.55) | 32.83% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( 0.6) | 69.4% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |