Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lille |
41.56% ( 0.91) | 25.01% ( 0.11) | 33.43% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% ( -0.74) | 46.23% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.47% ( -0.71) | 68.52% ( 0.71) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( 0.12) | 22.2% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% ( 0.18) | 55.61% ( -0.18) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.97) | 26.58% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.2% ( -1.3) | 61.8% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |