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Ligue 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Roazhon Park
Montpellier

Rennes
2 - 1
Montpellier

Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savanier (73')
Sagnan (12'), Khazri (30'), Mincarelli (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 3-1 Montpellier HSC

 Rennes seem to have found their scoring touch while Montpellier are still searching for theirs, and we believe the visitors will have difficulty doing much except perhaps fending off Les Rennais for a period of time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.

Result
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
46.9% (0.827 0.83) 24.35% (-0.229 -0.23) 28.74% (-0.597 -0.6)
Both teams to score 57.05% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (0.678 0.68)45.3% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.647 0.65)67.64% (-0.64399999999999 -0.64)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.621 0.62)19.42% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (1.005 1.01)51.25% (-1.003 -1)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)29.19% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)65.14% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 46.9%
    Montpellier HSC 28.75%
    Draw 24.35%
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.137 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 28.75%

How you voted: Rennes vs Montpellier

Rennes
96.0%
Draw
4.0%
Montpellier HSC
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 6
Montpellier
0-0
Rennes
Chotard (78'), Ferri (90+4')
Yildirim (32')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 32
Montpellier
1-0
Rennes
Mavididi (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Rennes
3-0
Montpellier
Terrier (15'), Kalimuendo (23'), Gouiri (85')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-4
Rennes
Oyongo (19'), Wahi (41')
Savanier (26'), Germain (74'), Oyongo (85')
Terrier (8'), Bourigeaud (15'), Laborde (52' pen.), Majer (84')
Traore (28'), Omari (70')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Rennes
2-0
Montpellier
Terrier (8'), Majer (28')
Tait (86')

Savanier (3'), Mollet (6')
Savanier (41')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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