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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Monaco

Toulouse
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
Akliouche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco

 Monaco are the third-highest scorers in Ligue 1 this season having scored 25 goals across their 13 matches. Toulouse have shipped seven goals in their last three outings, and we think Monaco will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
36.48% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 23.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 39.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.061 -0.06)52.23% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.48%
    Monaco 39.85%
    Draw 23.66%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
14.3%
Draw
22.4%
Monaco
63.3%
49
Head to Head
May 16, 2020 7pm
Monaco
P-P
Toulouse
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
Feb 24, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
3-3
Monaco
Sangare (24'), Delort (78' pen.), Sanogo (87')
Delort (85')
Lopes (8', 47'), Jovetic (72')
Lemar (83'), Fabinho (90'), Jovetic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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