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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Houston Dynamo

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston

Shaqiri (10' pen.), Gutierrez (78')
Czichos (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibrahim (65')
Sviatchenko (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Chicago have been struggling to find their best form this season and are coming off a very poor display against Atlanta last weekend. They now have to face a Houston side that are unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, are riding a three-match winning streak and will be brimming with confidence after their comeback win against the Earthquakes. We fancy the hosts to get on the board here but feel that the visitors will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
47.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.31% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)72.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)32.46% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.02%
    Houston Dynamo 27.67%
    Draw 25.31%
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Houston

Chicago Fire
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Chicago Fire
1-4
Houston
Souquet (40')
Pineda (21'), Navarro (62'), Gimenez (63'), Burks (90')
Bassi (12' pen.), Ibrahim (31', 59'), Quinones (74')
Gasper (89')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Aug 4, 2019 2am
Gameweek 29
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 14
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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