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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 3
Philadelphia


Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 Philadelphia Union

With two sides meeting in the midst of tough runs, something is bound to give on Saturday, and we see the Union being too strong for their struggling hosts, given their quality going forward which has been prevalent even throughout the rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.61% (0.159 0.16) 24.52% (-0.194 -0.19) 34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.23% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.904 0.9)43.64% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.879 0.88)66.03% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.467 0.47)21.54% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.714 0.71)54.6% (-0.714 -0.71)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.443 0.44)24.51% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.618 0.62)58.97% (-0.618 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 40.61%
    Philadelphia Union 34.87%
    Draw 24.51%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.87%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Philadelphia Union
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 42')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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