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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Charlotte FC

NY City
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Parks (41'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vargas (3')
Urso (21'), Vargas (50'), Westwood (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 DC United
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Charlotte FC

The Boys in Blue have been very compact and organised defensively over the past couple of matches, which has helped counter the ineffective attacking play of Bakrar. As for Charlotte, they have become a little predictable in recent matches, often resorting to counter-attacks down the wing but not looking very dangerous on the ball, which is why we are tipping the Pigeons to beat them for the first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawCharlotte FC
55.39% (0.0049999999999955 0) 23.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)46.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)69.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)46.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.93% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.39%
    Charlotte FC 21.39%
    Draw 23.21%
New York City FCDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 55.39%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.39%

How you voted: NY City vs Charlotte FC

New York City FC
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Charlotte FC
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-0
NY City
Malanda (8')
Westwood (34'), Vargas (73'), Urso (79')

Ilencic (9'), Martins (65')
Jul 6, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Charlotte FC
Cufre (81')
Haak (58'), Parks (88')
Gaines (17')
Tuiloma (90+2')
Aug 18, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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