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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Subaru Park
Minnesota United

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Gazdag (16'), Carranza (84')
Andres Martinez (64'), Harriel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dotson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have had little problem finding the back of the net of late, so we expect an open and exciting contest here. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
54.94% (-1.191 -1.19) 22.19% (0.504 0.5) 22.88% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (-1.499 -1.5)40.56% (1.508 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-1.557 -1.56)62.94% (1.565 1.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (-0.884 -0.88)14.71% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.1% (-1.727 -1.73)42.9% (1.735 1.74)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)31.26% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)67.6% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 54.94%
    Minnesota United 22.88%
    Draw 22.18%
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.311 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 22.88%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Philadelphia
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (35')
Glesnes (41'), Andres Martinez (51')
Lod (23')
Boxall (74'), Lod (79'), Reynoso (85')
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Jun 2, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 19
Minnesota Utd
2-3
Philadelphia
Dotson (28'), Molino (77')
Kallman (17')
Monteiro (18' pen.), Medunjanin (44'), Trusty (86')
Aaronson (45'), Wagner (89'), Gaddis (91'), Blake (93')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 37
Philadelphia
5-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (8'), Bedoya (17'), Picault (23', 44'), Ilsinho (79')
Bedoya (56'), Picault (72')
Quintero (54')
Gomez (72'), Bob (75')
Sep 10, 2017 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Philadelphia
Finlay (40')
Sapong (5')
Wijnaldum (38'), Chijioke Onyewu (55'), Pereira Dias Junior (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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