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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 0
Atlanta

Spicer (35'), Osei Owusu (71')
Long (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Atlanta United

While both sides have shown to be potent in the attacking third early into the new campaign, they have also been pretty solid defensively, and we expect to see a close encounter this weekend between two sides in high spirits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.36% (0.012 0.01) 34.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-0.052 -0.05)47.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.78% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)23.46% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)57.48% (0.052 0.05)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.84% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 40.18%
    Atlanta United 34.46%
    Draw 25.36%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
36.4%
Draw
45.5%
Atlanta United
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 43
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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