Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace5 - 0Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Crystal Palace eased to a 5-0 victory over Aston Villa on the final day of the 2023-24 Premier League season, securing their place in the top half of the table.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolves 1-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
40.56% ( -1.84) | 23.77% ( 0.02) | 35.67% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
