Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Porto | 1 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Benfica | 1 | 4 | 3 |
4 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
13.1% ( -0.02) | 19.35% ( -0) | 67.55% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( -0.01) | 44.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( -0.01) | 66.69% ( 0.01) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.2% ( -0.03) | 44.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.22% ( -0.02) | 80.77% ( 0.02) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0) | 12.13% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% | 37.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.1% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 67.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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