Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
52.26% ( -0.43) | 23.22% ( 0.18) | 24.53% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.49% ( -0.59) | 43.51% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( -0.58) | 65.91% ( 0.58) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% ( -0.37) | 16.67% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.46% ( -0.66) | 46.54% ( 0.66) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( -0.11) | 31.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( -0.13) | 67.86% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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